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    RBI Monetary Policy: CRR Cut in Focus

    • December 5, 2024
    • Posted by: OptimizeIAS Team
    • Category: DPN Topics
    No Comments

     

     

    RBI Monetary Policy: CRR Cut in Focus

    Sub : Eco

    Sec :Monetary Policy

    The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting from December 4 to 6, 2024, has sparked speculation about a possible Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) cut.

    While the repo rate is expected to remain unchanged at 6.5%, a reduction in CRR could signal a shift toward easing liquidity without altering interest rates.

    What is CRR?

    The Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) is the proportion of a bank’s total deposits that must be held in reserve with the RBI.

    Currently, it is set at 4.5%. Banks do not earn interest on these reserves.

    The CRR serves as a tool to manage:

    • Liquidity in the banking system
    • Inflation control
    • Lending regulation

    Why is a CRR Cut Expected?

    • Tight Liquidity Conditions:
      • Recent RBI actions to stabilize the rupee, including dollar sales, have tightened liquidity.
      • Upcoming advance tax, GST payments, and quarter-end credit demand will further strain liquidity.
    • Sluggish Economic Growth:
      • GDP growth slowed to 5.4% in Q2 FY25, the lowest in seven quarters.
      • A CRR cut could boost lending, stimulating economic activity.
    • Forex Reserves Depletion:
      • Forex reserves have dropped by $45 billion due to RBI’s interventions to curb rupee volatility.
      • The rupee has depreciated by nearly 1% since October 1, 2024, amid Foreign Portfolio Investor (FPI) outflows.

    Impact of a CRR Cut

    • Increased Bank Liquidity:
      • A 50 bps CRR cut could release ₹1.1 to ₹1.2 lakh crore into the banking system.
      • A 25 bps cut would free up ₹55 to ₹60 crore.
    • Boost to Lending and Economic Growth:
      • Banks would have more funds to lend, potentially spurring investment and consumption.
      • Borrowers might benefit from lower lending rates, especially in retail and business loans.
    • Improved Bank Margins:
      • A CRR cut is Net Interest Margin (NIM) accretive, meaning banks could see improved profitability.
    • Support for Currency Stabilization:
      • Easing liquidity could complement RBI’s efforts to stabilize the rupee without reducing the repo rate.

    Previous CRR Cut

    • The last CRR reduction occurred in March 2020, during the COVID-19 pandemic, when it was lowered to 3%.
    • Since then, the CRR has been raised three times, most recently to 4.5% in May 2022.
    economy RBI Monetary Policy: CRR Cut in Focus
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