What are ‘rogue waves’ and how can AI help predict them?
- July 22, 2024
- Posted by: OptimizeIAS Team
- Category: DPN Topics
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What are ‘rogue waves’ and how can AI help predict them?
Sub: Geo
Sec: Hydrology
Rogue Waves
- Rogue waves are unusually large waves compared to ones which come before and after, that can threaten ships, coastal and offshore infrastructure, and human lives.
- No forecasting method existed for rogue waves until recently.
AI Forecasting Method:
- University of Maryland mathematicians Thomas Breunung and Balakumar Balachandran developed an AI program to forecast rogue waves.
- The AI was trained using billions of data points from 172 ocean buoys.
- The AI can distinguish wave patterns that precede rogue waves up to five minutes in advance.
Deadly Surprises:
- Sea state refers to the condition of the water surface at a specific location and time.
- The WMO sea state code rates wave height on a scale from 0 (no waves) to 9 (waves over 14 m).
- Rogue waves are twice the size of surrounding waves and often form when swells converge or when ocean currents compress swells.
- Rogue waves have caused significant fatalities and ship sinkings due to the lack of a real-time forecasting method.